Are Home Prices Dropping in FL?

Donald Mihalik

January 10, 2023

If you are thinking of buying a home in Florida, you might be wondering whether the housing market is on the right track. In this article, we will take a look at the current state of the market, as well as some of the risks involved. We will also discuss how the current Florida housing market compares to other states’ markets.

Florida’s housing market is healthy compared to other states

If you’re looking for an affordable place to live, Florida’s housing market is one of the best. It offers affordable homes and low mortgage rates. But there are also some downsides to living in the Sunshine State.

Florida’s housing market has been softening recently. While it’s still in better shape than the last housing market crash, it’s not quite at its peak. Home price growth is slowing, and housing inventories are starting to lag behind demand. This has created a supply gap that will likely continue to drive up home prices.

There are a variety of factors contributing to the softening of Florida’s housing market. In addition to the ongoing affordability issue, slowing job growth and increased interest rate hikes are also affecting the real estate market.

More homes are coming onto the market, but fewer are selling. That’s good news for buyers, but it can make the market more competitive. During a normal market, a six-month supply of homes is considered balanced.

Many people are avoiding the cold winters and moving to the Sunshine State. They are opting for new construction or resale properties.

However, the high cost of building a home in the state has caused a shortage of affordable apartments. The shortage has made it difficult for Florida to keep up with the demands of residents.

Florida’s housing market is poised for a soft landing

Whether the Florida housing market is in a boom or bust state remains an open question. There are many factors that play a role in how a market will perform. The most important consideration is the labor market. In general, Florida’s labor market is relatively healthy, with a low unemployment rate of 2.7%. Its economy has a moderate pace of growth and is expected to remain relatively stable.

Another factor that is contributing to the softening of the Florida housing market is the rise in mortgage rates. This is causing fewer prospective home buyers to be able to afford the homes they want.

Home prices in Florida have risen by 80% over the past five years. However, they aren’t as high as they were during the Great Recession. Even so, some areas are experiencing outsized price declines.

Among other signs, the number of foreclosures is up, investment profits are down, and mortgage rates are rising. Fortunately, the labor market is still better than it was during the last housing market crash.

But the housing market’s affordability index is starting to deviate from its long-term trend. More recently, the number of new listings has declined. Combined with a broader spread of foreclosures, this means that more prospective homebuyers aren’t finding homeownership a realistic option under current conditions.

Florida’s housing market has downsides and dangers

The Florida housing market is a volatile one. Many homeowners in the Sunshine State are concerned about their home values. Some have already taken steps to reduce their mortgage debt. But if you’re interested in owning a house, you’ll need to be prepared for higher interest rates.

Florida’s economy is diverse, and the state is a popular place to live for retirees and real estate investors. Home prices have been on the rise. However, the supply of new homes has been lagging behind population growth.

This is part of the national trend, and Florida is no exception. A recent TD Economics report forecasts that home prices in Florida will fall by 10 to 15 percent by 2023. While this is not a full-fledged downturn, it could affect the overall Florida housing market forecast.

The state’s unemployment rate is expected to slow down, and the labor market isn’t as weak as it was during the Great Recession. These factors should keep Florida’s housing market from experiencing a complete collapse.

Home prices are still climbing, but at a slower pace than during the early 2000s. Housing affordability is at its lowest point since mid-2006.

In September, single-family home inventories in Florida were at a 2.5-month supply. That’s an improvement from the three months before the last housing market crash.